Axogen Inc Stock Performance

AXGN Stock  USD 35.21  0.19  0.54%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Axogen holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0082, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Axogen's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Axogen is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Axogen's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Axogen's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Axogen Inc are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak technical and fundamental indicators, Axogen displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow37 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-10.3 M

Axogen Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,399  in Axogen Inc on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,023  from holding Axogen Inc or generate 42.64% return on investment over 90 days. Axogen Inc is currently generating 0.6388% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.3944% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Axogen, and 88% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Axogen is expected to generate 4.54 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Axogen Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Axogen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.21 90 days 35.21 
about 7.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axogen to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.94 (This Axogen Inc probability density function shows the probability of Axogen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Axogen has a beta of 0.0082. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Axogen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Axogen Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Axogen Inc has an alpha of 0.6283, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Axogen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Axogen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axogen Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.1534.5437.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.2534.6438.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.2935.6839.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.9132.8635.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Axogen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Axogen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Axogen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Axogen Inc.

Axogen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axogen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axogen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axogen Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axogen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
3.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Axogen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axogen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axogen Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Axogen Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 187.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 160.52 M.
Axogen Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Axogen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axogen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axogen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axogen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments33.5 M

Axogen Fundamentals Growth

Axogen Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Axogen, and Axogen fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Axogen Stock performance.

About Axogen Performance

By examining Axogen's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Axogen's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Axogen is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
AxoGen, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and markets surgical solutions for physical damage or transection to peripheral nerves. It provides its products to hospitals, surgery centers, and military hospitals plastic reconstructive surgeons, orthopedic and plastic hand surgeons, and various oral and maxillofacial surgeons in the United States, Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom and other European countries, South Korea, and internationally. AxoGen operates under Medical Devices classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 428 people.

Things to note about Axogen Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Axogen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Axogen Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Axogen Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 187.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 160.52 M.
Axogen Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Axogen's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Axogen's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Axogen's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Axogen's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Axogen's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Axogen's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Axogen's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Axogen's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Axogen's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Axogen's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Axogen's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Axogen Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Axogen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Axogen Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Axogen Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Axogen Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
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Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Axogen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axogen. If investors know Axogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Axogen data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Axogen Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Axogen's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Axogen's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Axogen's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Axogen represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Axogen's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.